Tuesday, March 13, 2007

Simple mind probability




“It is sometimes necessary to guess which probability distribution governs random sampling over a given event space. When the correct guess cannot be deduced from information available about the space, the problem is said to require ampliative inference. The most familiar form of ampliative inference is represented in the principle of maximum entropy.” In Myers, T.S. and Osherson, N. ‘On the Psychology of Ampliative Inference, Psychological Sciecnce, 3 (2), 1992.